Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
Game Overview
The Ottawa Redblacks (4-9) host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers (6-7) with Ottawa favored by 2.5 points and a total around 51.5. Both teams have notable struggles: Winnipeg with turnovers and defensive issues and Ottawa showing recent offensive improvements under QB Dru Brown.
Key Factors to Consider
- Winnipeg has a 6-7 record but is underperforming recently with 4 losses in last 5 games and high turnovers (26), while Ottawa (4-9) has won back-to-back games with improved offensive output led by Dru Brown.
- Recent matchups have been competitive; Ottawa is slight favorite at home. Winnipeg has struggled to maintain leads and close out games lately.
- No major injury reports impacting starting QBs Chris Streveler (Winnipeg) and Dru Brown (Ottawa), so key offensive leaders are expected to play.
- Game played at Ottawa's TD Place, giving a homefield edge to Redblacks. Weather and travel factors are neutral given relatively short travel distance.
- Ottawa seeks to build on momentum from back-to-back wins late in the season, improving morale. Winnipeg needs to avoid slip further out of playoff contention, adding pressure but also urgency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Ottawa -152 / Winnipeg +126 | Ottawa | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | Ottawa -2.5 -118 / Winnipeg +2.5 -104 | Ottawa -2.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 51.5 -110 / Under 51.5 -110 | Over 51.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ottawa Redblacks -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 51.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ottawa Redblacks moneyline win
Predicted Score: Ottawa Redblacks 28 – Winnipeg Blue Bombers 24