Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Fluminense – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Manoel Barradas
Game Overview
A Brasileirão Série A clash where Fluminense, currently higher in standings with better recent form, visits Vitoria, a team struggling with inconsistent results especially away.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fluminense has an 8-4-8 record with recent form showing areas of strength, especially at home, but vulnerable away. Vitoria carries a weaker 4-10-9 overall record but shows moderate home resistance. Fluminense’s offense and away resilience have been better comparatively.
- Historically, Fluminense has dominated this matchup with more wins; recent matches favor Fluminense but many close or drawn encounters suggest a competitive game.
- No major injuries reported that severely impact starting lineups on either side based on available data.
- The game is at Vitoria’s home ground potentially giving slight home advantage; however, pitch conditions and weather are standard with no significant disruptions anticipated.
- Fluminense, aiming to solidify top half positioning and recover from inconsistent performances, likely has higher motivation than Vitoria who battles near the lower end for survival.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Fluminense: 193, Vitoria: 161, Draw: 195 | Fluminense | ★★★☆☆ 67% |
Spread | Fluminense: 105, Vitoria: -125 | Vitoria +0 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | Over: -108, Under: -112 | Under 2 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Fluminense 41% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Fluminense at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Away moneyline (Fluminense win), Vitoria +0 spread, Under 2 goals
Predicted Score: 1-1