Match Analysis: Iowa Wild vs Rockford IceHogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-10
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Casey’s Center, Des Moines, Iowa
Game Overview
The upcoming AHL match between the Iowa Wild and the Rockford IceHogs will be hosted at Iowa Wild's home venue, Casey’s Center. The teams have a long-standing competitive history with tightly contested games. The last encounter on October 12, 2025, ended decisively in favor of Rockford with a 6-2 away win. Despite playing at home, Iowa Wild faces a tough opponent in the IceHogs, who have shown balanced recent form in terms of wins and losses.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iowa Wild have won 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 games, showing some inconsistency. Rockford IceHogs hold a 5-5 record over their last 10 matches, scoring an average of 3.1 goals per game and conceding 2.9, indicating a moderately aggressive and effective offense combined with a vulnerable defense.
- Historically, the teams have met 109 times, with Iowa Wild leading narrowly with 54 home wins (including OT) versus Rockford's 50 away wins. Overall goals scored since inception stand very close at 309-303 favoring Iowa. The average match total hovers around 4.84 goals. The recent decisive 6-2 IceHogs win at Iowa underscores their capability to perform on the road.
- No specific injury data available; secondary players are expected to be involved, especially on the Iowa side, which might disrupt their usual gameplay rhythm.
- The game is part of Iowa’s longest home stand for November, possibly providing home ice advantage. The match atmosphere is expected to be intense given the rivalry and schedule congestion for both teams.
- Both teams show motivation to improve their positions, with Iowa trying to capitalize on home advantage after a recent loss to Rockford and Rockford poised to continue their strong offensive momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iowa Wild: 100, Rockford IceHogs: -148 | Rockford IceHogs | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Iowa Wild +1.5: -265, Rockford IceHogs -1.5: 188 | Rockford IceHogs to cover -1.5 spread | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -117, Under 5.5: -117 | Over 5.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rockford IceHogs -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rockford IceHogs are likely to edge out a win in this match due to recent dominance and stronger offensive statistics, despite playing away. However, Iowa Wild's home advantage and historical competitiveness suggest a tightly contested game with potentially close scorelines.
Predicted Score: Rockford IceHogs 4 – 3 Iowa Wild