Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Alverca – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio São Miguel, Ponta Delgada
Game Overview
Santa Clara hosts Alverca in a challenging Portugal Primeira Liga match, with Santa Clara favored due to home advantage and recent form despite both teams having inconsistent performances this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Santa Clara shows moderate home form with about 33% win rate recently, while Alverca's away performances have been stronger with roughly 50-75% outcomes favoring them across last four away matches, indicating a competitive contest.
- No strong recent H2H dominance by either side, but Santa Clara historically benefits from home advantage when facing Alverca.
- No significant injury information available that impacts starting lineups notably for either team.
- No unusual external factors; neutral weather and normal pitch conditions expected at Estádio São Miguel.
- Both clubs seek to climb the league standings early in the season; Santa Clara is likely more motivated to capitalize on home support.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Santa Clara -136, Draw +230, Alverca +445 | Santa Clara | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Santa Clara -0.75 (100), Alverca +75 (-120) | Santa Clara -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2 (-108), Under 2 (-112) | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Santa Clara 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Santa Clara to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.75 spread, and the match to finish under 2 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0