Match Analysis: North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs CSU Northridge Matadors – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Betty Engelstad Sioux Center, Grand Forks, ND
Game Overview
This matchup features the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (0-2) hosting the Cal State Northridge Matadors (1-1) in a non-conference NCAAB game. North Dakota has struggled defensively, allowing 82.5 points per game, while CSU Northridge averages 78 points per game but has shown inconsistency, especially on the road. The game is expected to be competitive, with CSU Northridge favored by about 6.5 points and the total set at 155.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- CSU Northridge started strong with a 99-58 win over Nobel University but lost 86-57 to Northern Iowa, showing vulnerability away from home. North Dakota has lost both games, including a narrow 72-70 defeat to UC Riverside, indicating they can stay close but lack finishing ability. North Dakota's defense is a major concern, allowing 82.5 points per game and 54.46% FG shooting. CSU Northridge's offense is more efficient, shooting 38.46% from the field and 72.22% from the free-throw line, compared to North Dakota's 41.32% and 51.22%.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for these teams.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- North Dakota is playing at home, which could provide a slight boost, but their home record is 0-1 this season. CSU Northridge is 0-1 on the road. The game is being played at a neutral site, the Betty Engelstad Sioux Center, which is North Dakota's home court.
- North Dakota is looking to avoid a 0-3 start and will be motivated to win at home. CSU Northridge is seeking to bounce back from a blowout loss and prove they can compete away from home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | CSU Northridge Matadors: -218, North Dakota Fighting Hawks: 180 | CSU Northridge Matadors | Not available |
| Spread | CSU Northridge Matadors: -6.5 -112, North Dakota Fighting Hawks: 6.5 -108 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 155.5 -112, Under: 155.5 -108 | Over | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | CSU Northridge Matadors -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 155.5 -0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: CSU Northridge Matadors at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
CSU Northridge is favored to win this game, but North Dakota has shown the ability to stay close, especially at home. The game is likely to be competitive, with CSU Northridge's superior offense and defense giving them the edge. However, North Dakota's home crowd and recent close losses suggest they could cover the spread. The total is set at 155.5, which is in line with both teams' recent scoring trends.
Predicted Score: CSU Northridge 80, North Dakota 75
