Match Analysis: Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Weserstadion, Bremen, Germany
Game Overview
Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and SC Freiburg, with Bremen looking to bounce back after a slow start and Freiburg aiming to recover from mixed results. Both teams show attacking capability but with defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Werder Bremen currently has a negative goal difference (-3) and concedes an average of 3.5 goals per 90 minutes but shows strong offensive output with 8 goals in 3 matches. SC Freiburg has a mixed record (1-0-2), scoring 5 goals so far but has potential squad rotation concerns due to European commitments.
- Recent meetings favor Werder Bremen with strong performances at home. The teams show competitive matches but Bremen hold a slight edge in results and form in Bremen.
- No specific major injuries reported for the starting goalkeepers Mio Backhaus (Bremen) and Noah Atubolu (Freiburg). Squad rotation for Freiburg might weaken their lineup.
- Werder Bremen benefits from home advantage at Weserstadion. Freiburgβs focus may be split with looming European fixtures against Basel, potentially impacting their energy and lineup choices.
- Werder Bremen motivated to secure early-season points and build on a recent convincing away win. Freiburg motivated but potentially distracted by European competition, likely to play more conservatively.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 134 | Werder Bremen | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | 105 | Werder Bremen -0.25 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | 100 for Over 3 | Over 3 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Werder Bremen 36% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Werder Bremen at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Werder Bremen to win
Predicted Score: 3-1