Match Analysis: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-18
- Time: 11:16 PM UTC
- Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Game Overview
The Chicago Cubs visit the Cincinnati Reds in an NL Central matchup late in the season. Cubs have momentum with a 5-game road win streak, while Reds hover around .500 with some recent struggles.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cubs hold an 88-64 record, second in NL Central, on a 5-game road win streak. Reds are 76-76, third in division, and have lost 3 of last 5 games. Reds have performed better as favorites but are showing inconsistency.
- Cubs and Reds have a competitive history, with Reds holding a slight edge in 2025 encounters. Reds favored at home but Cubs tend to perform well on the road recently.
- No major injuries reported for either team impacting starting pitching or key hitters at this time.
- Weather and park conditions at Great American Ball Park generally favor hitters but can vary. No adverse weather expected.
- Cubs pushing for playoff positioning, motivated to maintain momentum. Reds fighting to stay above .500 and keep postseason hopes alive but less urgency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cubs +106, Reds -124 | Reds -124 moneyline | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Cubs +1.5 -196, Reds -1.5 +162 | Reds -1.5 spread | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 9 -114, Under 9 -106 | Under 9 runs | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cincinnati Reds 19% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Cincinnati Reds at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cincinnati Reds Moneyline
Predicted Score: Reds 4 – Cubs 2