Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 9:50 AM UTC
- Location: GIO Stadium Canberra
Game Overview
A critical NRL finals match where Canberra Raiders host Cronulla Sharks, with Raiders favored due to home advantage and stronger recent form. Both teams have experienced ups and downs, but Raiders showed more consistency and resilience late in the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Canberra Raiders have won 4 of their last 6 matches, including tight wins against strong opponents, while Cronulla Sharks have shown inconsistency and recent losses leading into the finals.
- Raiders have a positive recent head-to-head record versus Sharks, especially at home. Last meetings favored Canberra by modest margins.
- No major injuries reported for Canberra Raiders impacting key positions. Sharks have some injury concerns on their backline reducing attacking options.
- Game held in Canberra with favorable climate conditions and strong home crowd support for Raiders. No significant travel fatigue issues.
- Raiders motivated to capitalize on home finals advantage, Sharks under pressure to upset as underdogs in elimination scenario.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -182 for Canberra Raiders, +156 for Cronulla Sharks, +2000 for Draw | Canberra Raiders | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | -4.5 (-115) for Canberra Raiders, +4.5 (-115) for Cronulla Sharks | Canberra Raiders -4.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 45.5 (-115), Under 45.5 (-115) | Under 45.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Canberra Raiders -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 45.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Canberra Raiders moneyline win
Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 24 - 18 Cronulla Sharks
This Pick Releases in 133 Minutes!
Unlock NOW by Sharing This Post!