Match Analysis: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-18
- Time: 2:10 AM UTC
- Location: Dodger Stadium
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Philadelphia Phillies in a late season MLB matchup. The Dodgers are slight favorites at home with a competitive pitching matchup featuring Shohei Ohtani for the Dodgers versus Cristopher SΓ‘nchez for the Phillies.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dodgers hold an 84-67 record while Phillies are 91-61. Dodgers have a 56.1% win rate as favorites, and Phillies have been solid underdogs, winning nearly half their games as moneyline underdogs.
- Recent simulations suggest Dodgers have a ~52% chance to win at home based on 10,000 runs simulated. Historical H2H advantage slightly favors Dodgers in this matchup.
- No major injuries impacting starting pitchers or key offensive players reported before this game.
- Playing at Dodger Stadium favors Dodgers. Weather conditions and time of day align with typical Dodgers advantage.
- Both teams are jockeying for playoff positioning late in the season, providing strong motivation for a competitive game.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers -141, Philadelphia Phillies +128 | Los Angeles Dodgers | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 +145, Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 -165 | Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 8 -120, Under 8 +100 | Under 8 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Dodgers to win outright
Predicted Score: Dodgers 4, Phillies 2