Match Analysis: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-17
- Time: 2:11 AM UTC
- Location: Dodger Stadium
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Philadelphia Phillies in a late-season MLB matchup with playoff implications, featuring strong home and road performances from both teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dodgers hold an 84-66 overall record with a dominant 48-27 record at home; Phillies boast a better overall record at 90-61 but a weaker 39-37 on the road. The Dodgers have a potent offense led by Shohei Ohtani (.281 AVG, 49 HR) and strong slugging, while Phillies rely on solid pitching led by Cristopher Sanchez (2.47 ERA) and balanced hitting.
- Recent direct confrontations show competitive games with slight edge to home Dodgers, leveraged by strong home-field advantage and high strikeout pitching.
- No significant injuries reported affecting starting pitchers or key hitters for either team at this matchup time.
- Game played at Dodger Stadium favors Dodgers due to familiarity and recent strong home performances; weather conditions typical and not expected to affect play.
- Both teams are vying for playoff positioning; Phillies slightly more motivated given better overall standing and nearing postseason lock, Dodgers aiming to solidify home-field advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Dodgers -120, Phillies +102 | Los Angeles Dodgers | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Dodgers -1.5 -200, Phillies +1.5 164 | Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 -105, Under 7.5 -115 | Under 7.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers 5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline win, -1.5 run spread, under 7.5 total runs
Predicted Score: Dodgers 4 – Phillies 2