Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Angels – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-16
- Time: 11:41 PM UTC
- Location: American Family Field
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers, holding a strong 91-59 record and favored at home, host the Los Angeles Angels who have struggled with a 69-81 record this season. Brewers are confident with solid pitching and home advantage while Angels seek to end a slump.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brewers show strong overall form (91-59) with a solid home record and effective pitching (Freddy Peralta 16-6, 2.69 ERA). They scored 5.11 runs per game recently, while Angels average 4.49 runs but with a losing record (69-81). Brewers won 64.7% as favorites this season.
- Historically, the Angels lead overall H2H 31-26, but Brewers have home advantage with 2 home wins in these matchups and decisively won their last meeting 6-2. Average run scoring favors Angels slightly but recent form favors Brewers.
- No significant key player injuries reported for either team impacting the starting lineup or pitching staff.
- Milwaukee playing at home with favorable weather conditions expected. No major travel disadvantages for either team.
- Brewers aiming to consolidate playoff positioning as division leaders. Angels motivated to end their slump but face pressure as underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers: -270, Los Angeles Angels: +220 | Milwaukee Brewers | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Milwaukee Brewers -1.5: -125, Los Angeles Angels +1.5: +104 | Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 8: -118, Under 8: -104 | Over 8 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline given strong home form, superior pitching, and recent dominance.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 6 – 3 Los Angeles Angels