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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-16
  • Time: 11:36 PM UTC
  • Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, Florida

Game Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays, leading the AL East with an 88-62 record, face the Tampa Bay Rays, who are 73-77 and largely out of playoff contention. The Jays show strong September form, particularly offensively, while Tampa Bay's performance has been below .500. Both teams have probable starters with similar ERAs: José Berríos for Toronto and Ryan Pepiot for Tampa Bay.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toronto Blue Jays have been strong this September with a .836 OPS indicating potent offense. Tampa Bay struggles with a losing record and fewer playoff prospects, impacting morale and motivation.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups favor the Blue Jays slightly, with better outcomes at home and on the road versus Tampa Bay. Both teams have had mixed results against each other this season.
  • Toronto Blue Jays report minor injuries but no critical absences affecting key offensive players. Tampa Bay's roster appears mostly healthy but lacks impact star power currently.
  • Game played at Tampa Bay's home field may grant some advantage to the Rays, but the Blue Jays have shown resilience on the road and favorable travel conditions to Florida at this time.
  • Toronto is fighting for top playoff positioning with strong motivation; Tampa Bay is mostly out of contention, possibly lowering competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays -108, Tampa Bay Rays -108 Toronto Blue Jays ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 +146, Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 -178 Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 8.5 -102, Under 8.5 -120 Over 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, with the total to go over 8.5 runs.

Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 6 – Tampa Bay Rays 3


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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-16 Time: 11:36 PM UTC Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, Florida Game Overview The Toronto Blue Jays, leading the AL East with an 88-62 record, face the Tampa Bay Rays, who are 73-77 and largely out of playoff contention. The […]

Baseball September 16, 2025 Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-17
  • Time: 1:41 AM UTC
  • Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona

Game Overview

A critical matchup between two wildcard-contending teams, the Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Francisco Giants, both holding similar overall records and competing fiercely late in the season. Arizona is the home favorite with solid moneyline odds, while the Giants have recent success in head-to-head games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arizona Diamondbacks have a slightly better season record (76-75) compared to the Giants (75-75). Arizona performs well at home and is favored by sportsbooks. However, the Giants have recent momentum, winning 4 of the last 5 head-to-head games against Arizona, indicating competitive balance.
  • Recent H2H heavily favors the Giants who have dominated with a 4-1 record over the last five meetings this season, highlighting their ability to exploit Arizona despite being the underdogs here.
  • No major injury news reported for either team that would significantly impact the pitching staff or key hitters for this game, keeping both teams close to full strength.
  • Game played at Chase Field with favorable weather conditions expected, neutralizing extreme external impacts. Both teams are evenly matched travel and rest-wise with no apparent advantages.
  • Both teams are neck and neck in the wildcard race late in the season, heightening motivation levels equally. This should lead to a closely contested game with high intensity from start to finish.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arizona -126, San Francisco +108 Arizona Diamondbacks ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Arizona -1.5 +160, San Francisco +1.5 -194 San Francisco Giants +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 9 -105, Under 9 -115 Under 9 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arizona Diamondbacks 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arizona Diamondbacks moneyline win

Predicted Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4 – San Francisco Giants 2


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Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-16
  • Time: 12:41 AM UTC
  • Location: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado

Game Overview

The Miami Marlins (70-80) visit the Colorado Rockies (41-109) at Coors Field, with Miami as clear favorites given their stronger season performance and better pitching matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Marlins have a 70-80 record and are significantly better than the Rockies who are 41-109 overall and 23-52 at home. Miami boasts a solid 34-38 away record, while the Rockies continue to struggle, especially defensively and on the mound.
  • During the 2025 season, the Marlins hold a strong edge over the Rockies, both offensively and pitching-wise. Pitcher Eury Pérez (6-5, 4.67 ERA) matches favorably against Kyle Freeland (4-15, 4.97 ERA), who has had difficulty securing wins.
  • No major injury reports affecting starting pitchers or key hitters for either team have surfaced for this matchup.
  • Coors Field is known for favoring hitters due to altitude, often inflating run totals. Weather appears stable with no adverse effects expected.
  • The Rockies have minimal motivation late in a losing season, while the Marlins, despite a losing record, still show signs of competitive play to finish respectably.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Colorado Rockies +126 / Miami Marlins -148 Miami Marlins ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Colorado Rockies +1.5 -125 / Miami Marlins -1.5 +104 Miami Marlins -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 10 -112 / Under 10 -108 Over 10 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Miami Marlins 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 10 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 10 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Miami Marlins moneyline win, Rockies +1.5 run spread, and over 10 runs total scored

Predicted Score: Miami Marlins 6, Colorado Rockies 3


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Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-16
  • Time: 12:10 AM UTC
  • Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas

Game Overview

The Texas Rangers visit the Houston Astros for a pivotal late-season MLB matchup with playoff implications. The Rangers have been strong as favorites, while the Astros hold home advantage and are motivated to rebound after a series opener loss. Both teams feature solid pitching matchups with Merrill Kelly starting for Texas and A.J. Blubaugh for Houston.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas Rangers hold a 79-72 record while Houston Astros are 82-69. Rangers have a strong record of 30-13 as moneyline favorites with odds -133 or shorter, showing consistent performance under pressure. Astros have recent clutch wins but have slight volatility in pitching.
  • The series opener was won narrowly by Houston, indicating a tight competitive edge. Historically, both teams have split games fairly evenly at home and away, with slightly better recent success for Rangers as favorites.
  • No major injuries reported for key starters or lineup impacting this game significantly.
  • Game played at Minute Maid Park, a hitter-friendly venue which generally increases run totals. Weather and travel do not appear to be impactful.
  • Both teams fight for playoff positioning late in the season. Houston aims to capitalize at home after recent series success; Texas seeks to leverage momentum and strong record as favorites.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline TEX -126 / HOU +114 Texas Rangers ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread HOU +1.5 -147 / TEX -1.5 +127 Texas Rangers -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 8 -115 / Under 8 -105 Over 8 runs ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Rangers -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Rangers moneyline win

Predicted Score: Texas Rangers 5 – Houston Astros 3


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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-16
  • Time: 11:46 PM UTC
  • Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Reds (75-75) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (73-78) in the middle game of their three-game series. Both teams are near .500 but not playoff contenders, making the matchup competitive yet low pressure.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Reds are slightly better in recent form and overall record, with stronger pitching metrics in the last 10 games, while the Cardinals have struggled offensively at home. Both teams have hovering around league average performance but Reds have a small edge in run differential.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups favor the Reds slightly with a 2-1 series lead this season including a walk-off win in the series opener. Both bullpens are reliable but Reds' closer has been more effective in high leverage situations in their last meetings.
  • St. Louis Cardinals are missing M. Winn (meniscus injury, IL10), weakening their outfield and lineup depth. Reds have no key injuries reported, giving them a deeper lineup and bullpen advantage.
  • Playing at Busch Stadium gives the Cardinals home field advantage, but a less lively hitter's park lately and stable weather forecast limit the offensive upside for both teams.
  • Both teams are out of playoff contention, reducing motivation. However, Reds may look to build momentum for next year as they have a slightly younger roster, while Cardinals could be in tank-mode focusing on development.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -110 Cincinnati Reds ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Cincinnati Reds -1.5 +140 Cincinnati Reds -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8 -105 Over 8 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cincinnati Reds moneyline

Predicted Score: Reds 5 – Cardinals 3


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Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-16
  • Time: 11:41 PM UTC
  • Location: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Game Overview

The New York Yankees face the Minnesota Twins in a late-season MLB matchup at Target Field. The Yankees have been a strong favorite historically and currently hold better form, while the Twins recently secured a dominant 7-0 victory over the Yankees at home, highlighting potential volatility.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Yankees hold an 83-66 record with reliable pitching, including starter Cam Schlittler (3.05 ERA). The Twins are struggling with a 64-84 record and starter Zebby Matthews posting a higher 5.06 ERA. Yankees show consistent winning when favored by this margin; Twins recently lost form but have a morale boost from their last big win at home.
  • Yankees lead the overall series with 97 wins vs 67 for the Twins. At Target Field, Twins have won 39 times, Yankees 55 on the road. The recent H2H match on this exact date saw the Twins win 7-0, but historically the Yankees have had the edge.
  • No critical injuries reported affecting lineup or key starters for either team, keeping the Yankees’ top pitchers in place and Twins’ lineup mostly intact.
  • Target Field's turf may favor Twins initially but does not significantly offset Yankees’ superior offense and pitching. Weather conditions expected to be stable, not impacting play.
  • Yankees remain highly motivated to secure playoff positioning with strong season performance so far. Twins have fewer stakes but played with high intensity last match, possibly carrying momentum but less consistent motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +144, away: -172 New York Yankees ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Minnesota Twins: -111, New York Yankees: -108 New York Yankees -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under over: -108, under: -112 Under 9 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Yankees -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Yankees moneyline win, Yankees cover the -1.5 run spread, and total runs under 9.

Predicted Score: Yankees 4 – Twins 2


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Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-16
  • Time: 11:41 PM UTC
  • Location: Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, IL

Game Overview

A late-season MLB matchup between two teams out of playoff contention. The Orioles are in slightly better form but both sides have struggled defensively in recent weeks. The Orioles took the previous meeting between the teams 4-1, but overall historical head-to-head is close. Both sides are starting mid-rotation arms who have been inconsistent in 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Orioles (70-80, 34-42 away) have been marginally better than the White Sox (57-94, 32-44 home). Baltimore has gone 4-6 in last 10, while Chicago is just 2-8, averaging only 3.2 runs per game recently[3][4]. The White Sox's defense has been a major weakness, especially against right-handed pitching.
  • Orioles lead 46-41 all-time, with a notable road edge. Most recent meeting: Orioles won 4-1. Dean Kremer (BAL) has excellent career numbers vs. White Sox (2-0, 1.02 ERA), while Shane Smith (CHW) faces BAL for the first time[3][4].
  • No major injury news reported for either team, but always verify lineups for last-minute changes.
  • No major weather or scheduling disruptions expected.
  • Both teams are playing for pride, but Chicago may have slightly more motivation at home after a recent loss to Baltimore.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BAL +106, CHW -124 Orioles ★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread BAL -1.5 (+176), CHW +1.5 (-215) White Sox +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 8 (-105), Under 8 (-115) Under 8 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Baltimore Orioles 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a close, lower-scoring game with the Orioles' slightly stronger form and bullpens favoring an under on 8 runs. The starting pitching matchup slightly favors Baltimore’s Kremer, but the White Sox's bats have struggled recently, and their home field advantage could keep it tight.

Predicted Score: 3-2 Orioles


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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Angels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-16
  • Time: 11:41 PM UTC
  • Location: American Family Field

Game Overview

The Milwaukee Brewers, holding a strong 91-59 record and favored at home, host the Los Angeles Angels who have struggled with a 69-81 record this season. Brewers are confident with solid pitching and home advantage while Angels seek to end a slump.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brewers show strong overall form (91-59) with a solid home record and effective pitching (Freddy Peralta 16-6, 2.69 ERA). They scored 5.11 runs per game recently, while Angels average 4.49 runs but with a losing record (69-81). Brewers won 64.7% as favorites this season.
  • Historically, the Angels lead overall H2H 31-26, but Brewers have home advantage with 2 home wins in these matchups and decisively won their last meeting 6-2. Average run scoring favors Angels slightly but recent form favors Brewers.
  • No significant key player injuries reported for either team impacting the starting lineup or pitching staff.
  • Milwaukee playing at home with favorable weather conditions expected. No major travel disadvantages for either team.
  • Brewers aiming to consolidate playoff positioning as division leaders. Angels motivated to end their slump but face pressure as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Milwaukee Brewers: -270, Los Angeles Angels: +220 Milwaukee Brewers ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Milwaukee Brewers -1.5: -125, Los Angeles Angels +1.5: +104 Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8: -118, Under 8: -104 Over 8 runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Milwaukee Brewers -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline given strong home form, superior pitching, and recent dominance.

Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 6 – 3 Los Angeles Angels


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Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-16
  • Time: 11:41 PM UTC
  • Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Game Overview

The Seattle Mariners (82-68), fighting to maintain top position in the AL West, visit the Kansas City Royals (75-75), who are aiming for a final AL wild card spot. Mariners have strong recent form with nine consecutive wins, overpowering opponents 66-23 in that span. Starting pitchers are George Kirby for Seattle and Michael Wacha for Kansas City, both solid performers this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Seattle Mariners are in excellent recent form, winning their last nine games with dominant offense. Kansas City Royals have an overall balanced record but weaker recent momentum and are underdogs at home.
  • Seattle Mariners have a slight edge historically and hold a pre-game win probability advantage at ~56% versus 44% for the Royals.
  • No notable injury updates affecting key starters or top hitters for either team reported ahead of this game.
  • Game takes place at Kauffman Stadium, a neutral to mildly pitcher-friendly park. Mariners are playing on the road but motivated to maintain divisional position.
  • Mariners are highly motivated to extend their win streak and solidify playoff seeding, while Royals are fighting for a wild card spot but face steeper odds and lower morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Seattle Mariners -142, Kansas City Royals +120 Seattle Mariners ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Kansas City Royals +1.5 -140, Seattle Mariners -1.5 +116 Seattle Mariners -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 8.5 -105, Under 8.5 -115 Under 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Seattle Mariners -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Seattle Mariners moneyline win; Mariners cover -1.5 run spread; game total under 8.5 runs

Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 5, Kansas City Royals 3


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New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: New York Mets vs San Diego Padres – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-16
  • Time: 11:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Citi Field, New York

Game Overview

The New York Mets host the San Diego Padres in a late-season MLB matchup pivotal for playoff positioning. The Mets have a strong home record (46-29), while the Padres hold a better overall record (82-68) but are below .500 away (35-40). Recent form favors the Padres with 6 wins in their last 9, but the Mets showed solid pitching and offense at home recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Padres have momentum with 6-3 in last 9 but struggle on road; Mets are solid at home and have outperformed expectation in clutch games recently.
  • Mixed recent matchups with Padres slightly edging in head-to-head win percentage, but Mets have held their own at Citi Field.
  • Key Mets bullpen arms M. Kranick and T. Megill are questionable but likely available; Padres dealing with minor injuries but no major starters out impacting lineup significantly.
  • Game played indoors at Citi Field with no weather impact; solid pitching matchup favors home crowd advantage; travel fatigue slightly favors Mets.
  • Both teams motivated as playoff contention tightens, with Padres pushing for better seeding and Mets aiming to solidify postseason slot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline new_york_mets: -116, san_diego_padres: -102 New York Mets ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread new_york_mets_+1.5: -182, san_diego_padres_-1.5: +150 New York Mets +1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under over_8: -115, under_8: -105 Under 8 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Mets 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New York Mets moneyline, New York Mets +1.5 spread, Under 8 total runs

Predicted Score: New York Mets 4 – San Diego Padres 3


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