Match Analysis: W-B/Scranton Penguins vs Utica Comets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 11:05 PM UTC
- Location: Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza, Wilkes-Barre Township, PA
Game Overview
The AHL match between Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins (home) and Utica Comets (away) features two competitive teams with a recent history of encounters. The Penguins have won 7 of their last 10 games but lost 3, while the Comets have had recent success against the Penguins especially on the road, winning with a +1.5 handicap in their previous 9 away games versus the Penguins. The last match between the two ended 3:1 in favor of the Comets.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins have shown solid form at home with 7 wins in their last 10 games, relying often on secondary players which may affect usual gameplay. Utica Comets have demonstrated strong away performance against this opponent, maintaining a winning record with a +1.5 spread in 9 consecutive away games.
- Across 25 official matches, Utica Comets lead with 15 away wins compared to Wilkes-Barre/Scranton's 9 home wins. Total goals scored stand at 74 (Comets) vs. 55 (Penguins). The average total per match is about 1.96 goals per period over three periods. The last head-to-head on Nov 1, 2025, ended 3:1 to Utica Comets away.
- No specific injury reports available for either team from the gathered data; however, reliance on secondary players for Wilkes-Barre/Scranton could imply some regular starters may be missing or rested.
- The match takes place at the Mohegan Arena, the home venue for the Penguins, which may give them home advantage. Fan engagement and high playoff appearance history of the Penguins can boost home morale. The date and time suggest a prime-time weekend game which usually favors higher intensity.
- Utica Comets appear motivated to continue their recent dominance on the road against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton. The Penguins are also driven to defend home ice and enhance their winning momentum following their last 7/10 victories.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utica Comets: 1.48, W-B/Scranton Penguins: -2.25 | W-B/Scranton Penguins win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Utica Comets +1.5: -1.82, W-B/Scranton Penguins -1.5: 1.32 | Utica Comets +1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -1.05, Under 5.5: -1.3 | Under 5.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | W-B/Scranton Penguins -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 -8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the strong recent away form of the Utica Comets against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins, including a 3:1 win in their last encounter and a consistent +1.5 handicap record, combined with Penguins' home advantage but roster variability, a closely contested match is expected but with a slight edge towards Utica Comets either to win outright or cover the spread.
Predicted Score: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins 2 – 3 Utica Comets