Match Analysis: Presbyterian Blue Hose vs East Tennessee St Buccaneers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Templeton Physical Education Center
Game Overview
The match features the Presbyterian Blue Hose hosting the East Tennessee State Buccaneers. Both teams come off recent wins, with East Tennessee State undefeated at 1-0 and Presbyterian at 1-1. East Tennessee State is favored by bookmakers, reflecting their strong defensive showing and higher recent scoring margin.
Key Factors to Consider
- East Tennessee State is 1-0 with a dominant 102-50 win last game, showing strong offense and defense. Presbyterian is 1-1, winning their last game 105-76 but with a smaller margin. ETSU's defense limits opponents to an average of 50 PPG versus Presbyterian's 76 PPG allowed.
- Historical head-to-head data is limited from the current season, but East Tennessee State has a better recent record overall (7 wins vs 5 for Presbyterian). ETSU's stronger NCAA record suggests an edge.
- No significant injury reports available for either team as of current data.
- Presbyterian plays at home which may help motivation and performance. Public betting heavily favors Presbyterian to cover the spread, indicating market support for them despite ETSU as favorites.
- Both teams won their last games by comfortable margins, indicating strong starting form. ETSU's undefeated status might drive confidence, while Presbyterian has motivation to prove competitive at home after a 1-1 start.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | East Tennessee State Buccaneers: -218, Presbyterian Blue Hose: 180 | East Tennessee State Buccaneers to win | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | East Tennessee State Buccaneers: -4.5 -110, Presbyterian Blue Hose: +4.5 -110 | Presbyterian Blue Hose to cover +4.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 142.5 -105, Under: 142.5 -115 | Under 142.5 total points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | East Tennessee St Buccaneers 93% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 142.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: East Tennessee St Buccaneers at 93% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 51.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
East Tennessee State Buccaneers are favored to win the match outright, though Presbyterian is likely to keep it competitive and cover the spread.
Predicted Score: East Tennessee State Buccaneers 74 – 69 Presbyterian Blue Hose