Match Analysis: UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Elon Phoenix – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 8, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: First Horizon Coliseum, Greensboro
Game Overview
Both teams are in the early phase of their season. Elon Phoenix enter with a 1-0 record after a dominant 99-51 win over Belmont Abbey, while UNC Greensboro Spartans are 0-1, coming off a tough 93-64 loss to Kansas State. The Phoenix are high on momentum but have played lesser competition compared to UNC Greensboro. The Spartans have won five of the last six head-to-head meetings, but Elon claimed the most recent matchup 73-69. Both teams are coming off opposite-trending performances and outcomes, with Elon's offense clicking against a lower-level opponent and UNC Greensboro struggling on the road against a major conference team.
Key Factors to Consider
- Elon Phoenix: Efficient offense, big win over Belmont Abbey (99-51), led by Chandler Cuthrell (21.0 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 3.0 SPG). UNC Greensboro Spartans: Struggled defensively in a blowout loss to Kansas State (64-93), led by Justin Neely (15.0 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 5.0 APG), but overall, the team has not started strong.
- Elon won the most recent meeting 73-69. Overall, UNC Greensboro have historically dominated, winning five of the last six matchups. The Phoenix have a recent edge, but the Spartans maintain historical confidence.
- No significant injury updates are available from the provided sources.
- No major external factors (travel, weather) affecting the game. The game is being played at UNC Greensboro's home venue, First Horizon Coliseum, giving the Spartans a potential home-court advantage.
- UNC Greensboro will be motivated to bounce back from their season-opening loss and reassert their historical dominance in the head-to-head. Elon aims to capitalize on fresh momentum and prove their early-season form is legitimate.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Elon: +136 | UNC Greensboro: -162 | UNC Greensboro Spartans | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Elon: +3.5 (-115) | UNC Greensboro: -3.5 (-105) | UNC Greensboro Spartans | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 142.5 (-110) | Under: 142.5 (-110) | Under 142.5 | β β β ββ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UNC Greensboro Spartans -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 142.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: UNC Greensboro Spartans at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UNC Greensboro Spartans are favored at home, with odds reflecting a moderate advantage. The game is expected to be close, but given the Spartans' historically strong record against Elon and the home-court edge, they are the most likely winners. The Over/Under line (142.5) is split, with experts dividedβsome suggesting a high-scoring game, others predicting the under, but neither with overwhelming evidence. Expect UNC Greensboro to cover the spread in a tightly contested, low-scoring affair.
Predicted Score: UNC Greensboro Spartans 74, Elon Phoenix 66