Match Analysis: NJIT Highlanders vs Fairfield Stags – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: NJIT Wellness and Events Center, Newark, NJ
Game Overview
The NJIT Highlanders host the Fairfield Stags in an early season NCAA basketball matchup. NJIT started the season strong with a recent win over Fordham, showing solid defense by allowing just 61 points in their latest game. Fairfield, however, has struggled in early games including losses at VCU and Penn State but boasts a high-scoring leader in Braden Sparks averaging 25 PPG. The game is expected to be competitive with Fairfield slightly favored by bookmakers.
Key Factors to Consider
- NJIT has demonstrated strong defensive capabilities, allowing 61 PPG recently, and have momentum from a 72-61 upset of Fordham. Fairfield is a higher-scoring team led by Braden Sparks with 25 PPG but has yet to secure a win this season, losing to strong opponents VCU (64-82) and Penn State (68-76).
- Recent head-to-head data is unavailable for this exact matchup in 2025-26; however, betting odds favor Fairfield indicating a consensus expectation of their slight superiority or matchup advantage at NJIT's home court.
- No specific injury reports found for either team ahead of the game, suggesting squads are likely at full strength.
- The game will be played indoors at NJITβs Wellness and Events Center which might give NJIT a home-court advantage. Both teams are early in the season, so form may still be settling.
- Fairfield is seeking its first win of the season and faces pressure to bounce back after two losses on the road, providing a strong motivational edge. NJIT, coming off a solid victory, aims to maintain momentum at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fairfield Stags: -235, NJIT Highlanders: 195 | Fairfield Stags to win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Fairfield Stags: -5.5 -115, NJIT Highlanders: +5.5 -105 | NJIT Highlanders to cover the +5.5 spread | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 145.5 -110, Under: 145.5 -110 | Under 145.5 total points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fairfield Stags -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 145.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 145.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fairfield Stags are predicted to win the game, but NJIT is expected to cover the spread due to their strong defense and home advantage. Expect a moderately paced game with scoring close to the set total.
Predicted Score: Fairfield Stags 71 – 66 NJIT Highlanders