Match Analysis: Tulane Green Wave vs Texas State Bobcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Avron B. Fogelman Arena, Devlin Fieldhouse, New Orleans, LA
Game Overview
Tulane Green Wave hosts Texas State Bobcats in a non-conference NCAA basketball game. Tulane enters undefeated at 1-0 with strong offensive efficiency, shooting over 58% from the field and 52.4% from three-point range in their opener. Texas State is 1-1, showing decent scoring but less defensive stability. Tulane is favored heavily at home with a dominant moneyline and spread advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tulane has displayed efficient shooting (58.5% FG, 52.4% 3PT) with balanced scoring contributions and strong rebounding in their opening win. Texas State has a slightly better scoring average (76.2 vs 74.5 points) but worse defense, allowing 73.3 points per game compared to Tulane's 70.4 allowed. Turnover margin and assist numbers are fairly close. Tulaneβs shooting defense is superior (allowing 41.1% FG vs Texas Stateβs 43.1%).
- No direct recent head-to-head data is currently available for this season; however, Tulane has shown stronger home performance covering spreads historically and better defensive metrics.
- No specific injury reports have been found for either team prior to the game.
- The game is played at Tulane's home arena in New Orleans, granting a home-court advantage. Betting public strongly favors Tulane both on moneyline and spread, with 66% of bets on Tulane and 84% public betting on 'over' for the total points line.
- Both teams are early in the season and coming off wins. Tulane aims to maintain perfect record and validate their favorite status; Texas State looks to prove competitiveness away from home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tulane Green Wave: -850, Texas State Bobcats: 575 | Tulane Green Wave | β β β β β 96% |
| Spread | Tulane Green Wave: -12.5 -112, Texas State Bobcats: +12.5 -108 | Tulane Green Wave to cover -12.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 147.5: -105, Under 147.5: -115 | Over 147.5 points | β β β β β 84% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tulane Green Wave -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 147.5 -98% |
β οΈ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Tulane Green Wave are predicted to win decisively at home by a margin exceeding the -12.5 point spread due to superior shooting efficiency, defense, and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Tulane Green Wave 82 – 67 Texas State Bobcats