Match Analysis: Binghamton Bearcats vs Niagara Purple Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Events Center, Vestal, NY
Game Overview
The match features the Binghamton Bearcats (1-1) hosting the Niagara Purple Eagles (0-1) in early season NCAA basketball action. Binghamton comes with slightly better recent form and home advantage. The game is expected to be competitive given the statistical matchups, though Binghamton is favored by bookmakers.
Key Factors to Consider
- Binghamton averages 56.5 points per game, giving up 70.5 points on defense, with a 38.54% FG shooting and 21.21% from three. Niagara averages 63 points per game but struggles defensively, allowing 83 points per game. Binghamton's defense might be a key factor in limiting Niagara's offense.
- No recent head-to-head data for this season was found, but line movements and betting behavior show a clear preference for Binghamton at home.
- Binghamton's center Demetrius Lilley is questionable with an undisclosed injury, which could affect their interior defense. Niagara reports no significant injuries.
- All betting public money is placed on Binghamton, indicating strong confidence from bettors. The game is hosted at Binghamton's venue, potentially providing a crowd advantage.
- Binghamton aims to improve to 2-1 with home support, while Niagara seeks its first win of the season, likely motivating a competitive effort despite being road underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Binghamton Bearcats: -166, Niagara Purple Eagles: 140 | Binghamton Bearcats | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Binghamton Bearcats: -2.5 -118, Niagara Purple Eagles: 2.5 -102 | Binghamton Bearcats -2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 140.5 -105, Under: 140.5 -115 | Under 140.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Binghamton Bearcats -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 140.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 140.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Binghamton Bearcats win narrowly, leveraging home court and stronger defensive ability to contain Niagara's offense. Expect a competitive game, but Binghamton's edge in odds and statistics suggest a close victory.
Predicted Score: Binghamton Bearcats 70 – Niagara Purple Eagles 66