Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 8:10 PM UTC
- Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington
Game Overview
Seattle Mariners (81-68) host the Los Angeles Angels (69-80) in a late-regular-season AL West matchup. Mariners are favorites at home with a strong 47-27 home record, while the Angels struggle on the road at 32-42. Starters George Kirby (SEA) and Kyle Hendricks (LAA) have similar ERAs around 4.56-4.58, indicating a fairly even pitching matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mariners have an overall stronger record and recent better form, going 5-0 in their last 5 games. The Angels have multiple recent losses and a losing away record.
- The Mariners have dominated this seasonβs H2H series overall, taking the majority of games at home with narrow scoring margins.
- No major injury reports affecting starting rotation or key hitters reported for either team prior to this game.
- Game played at Marinersβ home stadium T-Mobile Park, which strongly favors the home team due to park factors and fan support.
- Mariners are fighting for positioning in the playoffs, providing strong incentive to maintain winning momentum. The Angels, with a losing record, have less at stake but may play spoiler.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Mariners -215, Los Angeles Angels +193 | Seattle Mariners | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Seattle Mariners -1.5 -105, Los Angeles Angels +1.5 -115 | Seattle Mariners -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 -117, Under 7.5 -103 | Under 7.5 | β β β ββ 66% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Mariners -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners to win outright (moneyline), cover the -1.5 run spread, and game total under 7.5 runs.
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 4, Los Angeles Angels 2