Match Analysis: Bologna vs Napoli – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Game Overview
Bologna hosts Napoli in a crucial Serie A Round 11 clash at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Bologna sits in 5th place with 18 points, while Napoli leads the league with 22 points. Both teams are in strong form, with Bologna scoring 7 goals in their last 5 matches and Napoli scoring 6 in the same period. Riccardo Orsolini is Bologna's top scorer with 5 goals, while Frank Anguissa leads Napoli with 4 goals. The match is expected to be competitive, with both sides having strong attacking and defensive records.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bologna has been in excellent form, scoring 7 goals in their last 5 matches and remaining unbeaten in 9 consecutive games. They have the most penalties awarded this season (3) but have also conceded the most penalties (4). Napoli, on the other hand, has scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches and is leading the league with 22 points. They have a strong attacking lineup with Anguissa and De Bruyne contributing significantly.
- Recent head-to-head encounters show a competitive rivalry, with both teams having won and drawn matches in the past. The last few meetings have been closely contested, indicating a balanced matchup.
- No significant injuries reported for either team. Both squads are expected to field their strongest lineups.
- The match will be played at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, which is known for its passionate home support. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable for football.
- Bologna is motivated to close the gap on the league leaders and maintain their top-five position. Napoli is determined to extend their lead at the top of the table and continue their winning streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bologna: 190, Napoli: 161, Draw: 205 | Napoli | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Bologna: 0, Napoli: 0 | Napoli | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 2, Under: 2 | Over | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Napoli 17% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Napoli at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the current form and head-to-head record, this match is expected to be closely contested. Bologna's strong home form and recent scoring record make them a formidable opponent, but Napoli's league-leading position and attacking prowess give them a slight edge. A draw or a narrow win for Napoli is the most likely outcome.
Predicted Score: 2-2