Match Analysis: Saint Mary's Gaels vs Chattanooga Mocs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 3:30 AM UTC
- Location: Likely Saint Mary's Gaels Home Venue (Moraga, CA – UCU Pavilion)
Game Overview
The NCAA matchup features Saint Mary's Gaels hosting Chattanooga Mocs. Saint Mary's won the only recent meeting on Nov 7, 2024, 86-74 at home. Both teams are early in the 2025-26 season, with Saint Mary's heavily favored in current odds. The game is expected to be decided by Saint Mary's strong home performance and recent victory over Chattanooga.
Key Factors to Consider
- Saint Mary's Gaels have demonstrated superior performance recently with an 86-74 victory over Chattanooga last season. They have a strong home record and favorable offensive/defensive stats. Chattanooga Mocs have struggled against Saint Mary's historically and are outmatched on current form.
- Only one recorded game since 2024 with Saint Mary's winning 86-74. The OVER occurred in that matchup. Saint Mary's won decisively at home.
- No publicly available injury reports for either team at present. Both squads appear to have full lineups heading into the game.
- This game is early in the season with minimal external disruptions. Home court advantage strongly favors Saint Mary's. Weather or travel issues unlikely to impact performance.
- Saint Mary's motivation is high to maintain dominance over Chattanooga and start the season strong at home. Chattanooga is motivated to bounce back from prior season loss but faces an uphill battle on opponent's home floor.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chattanooga Mocs: 810, Saint Mary's Gaels: -1450 | Saint Mary's Gaels win | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | Chattanooga Mocs: -102, Saint Mary's Gaels: -120 | Saint Mary's Gaels -13.5 points | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: -110, Under: -110 | Under 144.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Saint Mary's Gaels -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 144.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Saint Mary's Gaels to win convincingly given historical dominance, home advantage, and strong betting odds.
Predicted Score: Saint Mary's Gaels 81 – Chattanooga Mocs 66