Match Analysis: Oregon St Beavers vs UIC Flames – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Gill Coliseum, Corvallis, Oregon
Game Overview
The Oregon State Beavers (1-0) host the UIC Flames (1-0) in an early season NCAA basketball matchup at Gill Coliseum. Both teams are off to winning starts with Oregon State narrowly beating North Dakota State 67-65 and UIC disposing of Detroit Mercy 91-71. This will be the fourth meeting in series history, with Oregon State leading 2-1, including two wins at home. The Flames aim to break this trend in an important road test.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oregon State has a balanced attack with five players in double figures in their opener and excellent second-half shooting (55.2%). The Beavers have a strong home record and a long streak of season-opening wins under coach Wayne Tinkle. UIC showed a more dominant margin in their opener with strong offense scoring 91 points and solid defense holding Detroit Mercy to 71.
- Oregon State leads the series 2-1. Previous meetings showed home teams winning, with Oregon State's latest meeting a convincing 95-53 home victory in 2011. UIC's inaugural win was a close 63-61 at home in 2009.
- No significant injury reports publicly available for either team ahead of this matchup.
- UIC is traveling coast-to-coast for this first road game of the season, which may impact their performance. Oregon State benefits from playing three straight home games to start their season.
- Oregon State aims to extend their 12-straight season opener winning streak. UIC looks to establish credibility with a road victory against a Power 5 conference opponent early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oregon State Beavers: -188, UIC Flames: 155 | Oregon State Beavers to win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Oregon State Beavers: -3.5 -110, UIC Flames: +3.5 -110 | Oregon State Beavers to cover -3.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over: 149.5 -110, Under: 149.5 -110 | Under 149.5 points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oregon St Beavers 66% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 149.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Oregon St Beavers at 66% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oregon State's home advantage, balanced scoring, and defensive strength combined with UIC's travel fatigue and historically weaker results against Pac-12 schools lead to a prediction for an Oregon State win in a moderately low-scoring game, with total points under the 149.5 line.
Predicted Score: Oregon State Beavers 74 – UIC Flames 68