Match Analysis: NC State Wolfpack vs UAB Blazers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Lenovo Center, Raleigh, NC
Game Overview
The NC State Wolfpack (1-0) host the UAB Blazers (1-0) at Lenovo Center in a matchup featuring two strong starts to the season. Both teams won convincingly in their openers β NC State defeated North Carolina Central 114-66, and UAB routed Mississippi Valley State 106-55. NC State is heavily favored at home with dominant shooting efficiency and depth. UAB boasts solid outside shooting and defensive pressure but faces a tough challenge against a Wolfpack squad capable of high scoring and strong board presence.
Key Factors to Consider
- NC State demonstrated balanced scoring and high shooting accuracy (57.8% FG, 47.5% 3PT), complemented by strong rebounding and defensive forcing turnovers. UAB showed a high-scoring offense with 50% FG and nine 3-pointers but at a lower free throw percentage and lower defensive rebound totals. Both teams forced turnovers well, but NC Stateβs overall team efficiency and fast-break scoring stand out.
- No recent direct data available for prior matchups; both teams are undefeated (1-0) this season and coming off dominant wins with large margins, suggesting a gap that favors NC State in a home environment.
- No reported injuries or absences impacting either roster.
- The game is played at NC Stateβs Lenovo Center, providing a home-court advantage to NC State. The matchup is televised on ACC Network, with public betting showing heavier support for NC State (68% of bets). The sportsbooks offer strongly negative moneyline odds for NC State, indicating market confidence in their win.
- Both teams are 1-0 and motivated to maintain undefeated records early in the season. NC State carries momentum from a commanding home opener and will seek to assert ACC dominance. UAB aims to prove competitiveness away from home against a Power Five program.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | NC State Wolfpack: -3000, UAB Blazers: 1200 | NC State Wolfpack to win | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | NC State Wolfpack: -17.5 -110, UAB Blazers: +17.5 -110 | NC State Wolfpack to cover -17.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | over: 163.5 -110, under: 163.5 -110 | Under 163.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | NC State Wolfpack -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 163.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 163.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
NC State is heavily favored to win by a large margin due to superior shooting efficiency, strong home advantage, and balanced team play. The expected pace is moderately fast but controlled, likely keeping total points close to or slightly under the 163.5 line. UAB may struggle to keep pace defensively against NC State's depth and scoring variety.
Predicted Score: NC State Wolfpack 88 – UAB Blazers 68