Match Analysis: Samford Bulldogs vs South Carolina St Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Pete Hanna Center, Homewood, AL
Game Overview
This NCAA college basketball game features the Samford Bulldogs (home) facing off against the South Carolina State Bulldogs (away). Both teams enter the match with 0-1 season records after heavy opening losses. Samford lost 85-72 on the road to Tulane, while South Carolina State suffered a heavy 104-45 defeat at Louisville. The game will be hosted at Samford's home venue with Samford favored significantly in the matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Samford's defense is vulnerable, allowing 52.4% from three-point range and opponents shooting 92.3% from the free throw line. They lost their first match while scoring 72 points. South Carolina State struggles offensively, shooting just 22.8% overall and 2-for-19 on three-pointers in their previous contest, where they were overwhelmed by Louisville. Both teams have defensive lapses but South Carolina State's offense appears weaker so far.
- Samford holds a clear advantage historically, winning 3 of the last 4 games against South Carolina State including recent victories of 89-72 at home and 88-81 away. This trend favors Samford continuing the streak.
- Samford is missing forward Dylan Faulkner, who is out for the season with a foot injury. There are no reported injuries for South Carolina State.
- The game is at Samford's home arena, the Pete Hanna Center, which confers a home-court advantage. The public betting heavily favors Samford, with nearly 100% of bets on the home team, indicating strong confidence in Samford.
- Both teams look to recover from poor season starts, but Samford's historical dominance over South Carolina State and home advantage provide them greater motivation to secure a win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Samford: 1.13, South Carolina State: 9.5 | Samford to win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Samford: -13.5 -115, South Carolina State: +13.5 -105 | Samford to cover -13.5 spread | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 155.5 -112, Under: 155.5 -108 | Over 155.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 155.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 155.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Samford Bulldogs are favored to win comfortably due to stronger historic performance, better offensive capabilities, home advantage, and public betting support. The expectation is a double-digit victory for Samford.
Predicted Score: Samford Bulldogs 84 – South Carolina State Bulldogs 68