Match Analysis: UConn Huskies vs UMass Lowell River Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: PeoplesBank Arena, Hartford, Connecticut
Game Overview
The No. 4 UConn Huskies (1-0) face off against the UMass Lowell River Hawks (1-0) at PeoplesBank Arena in Hartford. UConn enters as a dominant favorite given their higher national ranking, strong rebounding, and balanced scoring attack. UMass Lowell has also started 1-0, showcasing efficient shooting and solid defense, but faces a substantial challenge against a superior Huskies team.
Key Factors to Consider
- UConn dominated their opener with strong interior play and defense, outrebounding New Haven 40β25 and holding them to 33% shooting. Leading players include Alex Karaban, Solo Ball, and Jaylin Stewart. UMass Lowell boasts high shooting efficiency with averages of 107 points and 60% shooting, led by Austin Greenβs 21 points and 13 rebounds, but they face a tough defensive challenge.
- UConn leads the recent series 2-0 with the last meeting a 97-75 victory. Both teams have 1-0 records to start the season. UConnβs historical dominance and higher profile provide a strong edge.
- UConn is missing Braylon Mullins due to an ankle injury; Tarris Reed Jr. may return from a hamstring issue. UMass Lowell has no significant reported injuries affecting their key players.
- The game is played at a neutral-site arena in Hartford, giving UConn some home-region advantage. The Huskies will likely have more crowd support. Upcoming tougher games might affect UConnβs motivation, while UMass Lowell is motivated to prove themselves on a big stage.
- UMass Lowell is highly motivated as underdogs with a chance to make a statement, whereas UConn may be focused on maintaining momentum heading into key future matchups against BYU and Arizona.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UConn: -115, UMass Lowell: +6000 | UConn win | β β β β β 96% |
| Spread | UConn: -33.5 -110, UMass Lowell: +33.5 -110 | UConn to cover the spread (-33.5) | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 153.5 -105, Under: 153.5 -115 | Under 153.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 153.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 153.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UConn is predicted to win convincingly, with a likely margin around 34 points, reflecting their overall talent, depth, and historical superiority.
Predicted Score: UConn 105 – UMass Lowell 70