Match Analysis: Brown Bears vs Siena Saints – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Paul Bailey Pizzitola Sports Center, Providence, Rhode Island
Game Overview
The Brown Bears host the Siena Saints in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Siena enters the game with a 1-0 record, while Brown is starting their season at 0-0. The game is scheduled for Saturday, November 8, 2025, at midnight UTC. Both teams are looking to establish momentum early in the season, with Siena coming off a narrow win in their opener and Brown aiming to make a strong debut.
Key Factors to Consider
- Siena showed resilience in their season opener, winning by a single point. Brown has not played yet this season, so their form is unknown. Historically, both teams have had close matchups, with Siena narrowly edging Brown in their most recent meeting last season. Siena's experience in close games could be an advantage.
- The last two meetings between these teams were decided by four points or less, with each team winning once. Siena won 72-71 in November 2024, while Brown won 71-67 in December 2023. The series is evenly split, indicating a competitive matchup.
- Siena is missing Marcus Jackson (G) due to a knee injury. Brown has no reported injuries. Jackson's absence could impact Siena's backcourt depth and scoring options.
- The game is being played at Brown's home venue, which could provide a slight advantage for the Bears. The timing of the game (late night UTC) may affect player focus and energy levels, especially for the away team.
- Both teams are motivated to start the season strong. Siena aims to build on their opening win, while Brown seeks to make a statement in their first game. The close historical matchups suggest both teams will be highly motivated to win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brown Bears: 100, Siena Saints: -122 | Siena Saints | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | Brown Bears: 1.5 -114, Siena Saints: -1.5 -106 | Siena Saints -1.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 144.5 -116, Under: 144.5 -108 | Under 144.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Siena Saints -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 144.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
This game is expected to be closely contested, with both teams capable of winning. Siena's experience in close games and their narrow win in the opener give them a slight edge, but Brown's home advantage and fresh roster could make a difference. The absence of Marcus Jackson for Siena is a notable factor, but Brown's lack of recent game action may offset this. The game is likely to be decided by a small margin, with Siena favored by the oddsmakers.
Predicted Score: Brown Bears 68 – 70 Siena Saints