Match Analysis: Delaware Blue Hens vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Tubby Raymond Field at Delaware Stadium, Newark, Delaware
Game Overview
This is a Conference USA matchup between the Delaware Blue Hens (4-4) and the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (5-3) on Saturday, November 8, 2025. The game is set for 3 p.m. ET at Delaware Stadium, with ESPN+ providing live coverage. Louisiana Tech is favored by 6 points, and the over/under is set at 57.5 points. Both teams are coming off recent losses, with Louisiana Tech defeating Sam Houston 55-14 and Delaware losing to Liberty 59-30. The contest is expected to be competitive, with both teams averaging close to 30 points per game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Louisiana Tech has shown strong offensive and defensive balance, averaging 28.6 points per game and allowing only 18.1 points per game. Their defense ranks 19th nationally in points allowed. Delaware averages 29.2 points per game but allows 32.1 points per game, ranking 119th in points allowed. Louisiana Tech has a slight edge in rushing yards (178.6 vs 114.8) and is more efficient on defense, allowing fewer passing yards (240.6 vs 236.1). Delaware's offense is led by Nick Minicucci (2,414 passing yards, 15 TDs), while Louisiana Tech's defense is solid against both the run and pass.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup. Both teams are in their first season in Conference USA, so this is likely their first meeting as conference opponents.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at Delaware Stadium, giving the Blue Hens a home-field advantage. However, Delaware is only 3-1 at home this season, while Louisiana Tech is 2-2 on the road. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with no major impact on play.
- Louisiana Tech is looking to solidify its position in the conference standings and improve its bowl eligibility chances. Delaware is fighting to stay above .500 and maintain momentum for the remainder of the season. Both teams are motivated to win, but Louisiana Tech has a slightly higher incentive to secure a winning record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Delaware Blue Hens: 195, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: -238 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Spread | Delaware Blue Hens: 6 -108, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: -6 -112 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -6 | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 57.5 -108, Under: 57.5 -112 | Over 57.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 57.5 12% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 57.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Louisiana Tech is favored to win this matchup due to their superior defense and recent form. Delaware's offense is capable of putting up points, but their defense has struggled against stronger opponents. The game is expected to be close, with Louisiana Tech likely to cover the spread. The total is set at 57.5, which is in line with both teams' scoring averages, making the over a strong possibility.
Predicted Score: Louisiana Tech 34, Delaware 28