Match Analysis: Le Havre vs Nantes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Océane, Le Havre, France
Game Overview
Le Havre hosts Nantes in a Ligue 1 clash at Stade Océane. Both teams are mid-table, with Le Havre in 12th and Nantes in 15th. Le Havre has shown a solid defensive approach recently, while Nantes has struggled for results and form, especially after a poor defeat last weekend. The match is expected to be tight, with both sides battling for points to avoid relegation concerns.
Key Factors to Consider
- Le Havre has been steady, with three wins and four draws in their opening 11 matches, recently holding Toulouse to a goalless draw. Nantes has been inconsistent, with only two wins and three draws, and suffered a 2-0 loss to newly-promoted Metz last weekend. Nantes’ performances have been poor, and their new manager Luis Castro has yet to turn things around.
- Historically, Nantes has dominated with 6 wins, Le Havre has 2 wins, and there have been 3 draws in their previous encounters. However, recent meetings have been closely contested, with both teams showing similar form.
- Le Havre has no unavailable players. Nantes is missing Fabien Centonze and Mayckel Lahdo due to injury, which could impact their midfield and defensive options.
- The match is at Stade Océane, where Le Havre has a slight home advantage. The weather is expected to be mild, with no major disruptions anticipated. The fixture is not televised in the UK but is available via Ligue 1 Pass and beIN Sports in the US.
- Both teams are motivated to avoid relegation, but Nantes is under more pressure after a string of poor results. Le Havre will look to capitalize on their home form and Nantes’ recent struggles.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -102, away: 295, draw: 225 | Le Havre | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | home: -0.5, away: 50 | Le Havre -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over: 2.25, under: 2.25 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Le Havre 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Le Havre is favored to win this match due to their solid home form and Nantes’ recent struggles. However, the match is expected to be close, with a low-scoring outcome likely given both teams’ defensive tendencies.
Predicted Score: Le Havre 1-0 Nantes