Match Analysis: Army Black Knights vs Temple Owls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Michie Stadium, West Point, New York
Game Overview
Army Black Knights (4-4) host Temple Owls (5-4) in a pivotal American Athletic Conference matchup. Both teams are run-first, with Army leading the nation in time of possession and rushing attempts, while Temple boasts a high-scoring offense, ranking first in points per quality drive. Army's defense is inconsistent, ranking near the bottom in defensive efficiency, while Temple's defense is also suspect. The game is expected to be a battle of ground attacks, with potential for a low-scoring, clock-chewing affair or a shootout if Temple builds an early lead and forces Army out of its preferred scheme.
Key Factors to Consider
- Army ranks 4th nationally in rushing yards (265.3 per game) but 136th in passing (87.6 per game), reflecting a run-heavy offense. Their defense allows 23.1 points per game (57th) and 145.1 rushing yards (65th). Temple's offense is explosive, ranking 1st in points per quality drive, but their defense is inconsistent, allowing 23.4 points per game (105th). Army's time of possession (1st in FBS) will be key, but their defensive inefficiency (129th in quality drive rate allowed, 111th in defensive success rate) could be exploited by Temple's scoring efficiency.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this specific matchup. Both teams have similar records and are in the same conference, but their styles are markedly different, with Army favoring a run-heavy, clock-control approach and Temple relying on explosive scoring drives.
- No significant injuries reported for either team at this time.
- The game will be played at Michie Stadium in West Point, NY, with a forecast of 60ยฐF, 0% chance of rain, and light wind. The conditions are favorable for both teams, with no weather-related advantages expected.
- Both teams are fighting for bowl eligibility and conference standing. Army, as the home team, will be motivated to protect their home field and improve their record. Temple, with a slightly better record, will be motivated to secure a winning season and potentially a higher bowl placement.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Army Black Knights: -245, Temple Owls: 200 | Army Black Knights | Not available |
| Spread | Army Black Knights: -6.5, Temple Owls: 6.5 | Army Black Knights -6.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 46.5, Under: 46.5 | Under 46.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Army Black Knights -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 46.5 27% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
This game is expected to be a close, low-scoring affair, with Army's run-heavy offense and time of possession likely to control the pace. However, Temple's explosive scoring ability could give them an edge if they build an early lead. Army's defensive inefficiency is a concern, but their ability to keep the ball away from Temple's offense could be decisive. The most likely outcome is a narrow Army victory, but Temple's scoring efficiency makes them a dangerous opponent.
Predicted Score: Army 24, Temple 20