Match Analysis: Auburn Tigers vs Merrimack Warriors – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Neville Arena, Auburn, Alabama
Game Overview
The Auburn Tigers (ranked 20th nationally) host the Merrimack Warriors in their season opener. Auburn is coming off a close 95-90 overtime victory against Bethune-Cookman, showing strong offensive output and solid rebounding. Merrimack enters 0-1 after a 66-75 home loss to South Dakota State, struggling defensively. Auburn is heavily favored given its higher national ranking, stronger recent performance and home-court advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Auburn opened with a 1-0 record, shooting 47% from the field and boosting 40 rebounds in their first game. Keyshawn Hall led with 28 points. Merrimack is 0-1, scoring 66 points in a defensive struggle and relying on Tye Dorsetβs 19 points. Auburnβs offense and rebounding superiority contrasts with Merrimackβs early season defensive woes.
- There is no prior head-to-head history between Auburn Tigers and Merrimack Warriors; this is their first matchup.
- No major injuries reported for either team ahead of this game.
- The game takes place at Neville Arena in Auburn, Alabama, giving Auburn the home-court advantage. Auburnβs familiarity with their arena and fan support provide additional edge.
- Auburn looks to build momentum after a shaky but successful start and maintain their national ranking. Merrimack seeks its first win of the season and to prove competitive despite roster turnover.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auburn Tigers: -10000, Merrimack Warriors: 3000 | Auburn Tigers | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Auburn Tigers: -25.5 -110, Merrimack Warriors: +25.5 -110 | Auburn Tigers to cover the -25.5 spread | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 145.5 -110, Under: 145.5 -110 | Under 145.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auburn Tigers -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 145.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 145.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Auburn Tigers are expected to win comfortably given their superior team metrics, offensive efficiency, home advantage, and status as strong favorites.
Predicted Score: Auburn Tigers 85, Merrimack Warriors 58