Match Analysis: Texas A&M Aggies vs Texas Southern Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Reed Arena, College Station, TX
Game Overview
The Texas A&M Aggies, currently 1-0, face the Texas Southern Tigers, who stand at 0-1 this season. Texas A&M comes off a convincing 98-68 home win over Northwestern State, showing strong shooting efficiency and rebounding. Texas Southern suffered a heavy 98-43 loss on the road vs. Gonzaga. Texas A&M is favored heavily at home with a substantial spread.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas A&M displayed high effectiveness with a 49.3% field goal rate, 35.5% three-point shooting, and 73.9% free throws in their opener. They scored strongly in the paint and had good ball movement. Texas Southern struggled severely in their opener, notably in scoring and defense.
- The last meeting was a close 58-55 victory for Texas A&M, underscoring a competitive history despite current form disparity. Texas A&M is 1-0 against the spread in their recent games, while Texas Southern has underperformed.
- No recent injuries reported for either squad that would significantly impact the game.
- The game is hosted at Reed Arena, giving Texas A&M a strong home court advantage. Public betting heavily favors Texas A&M, with 100% of moneyline bets on them, indicating strong confidence from bettors.
- Texas A&M aims to maintain momentum after a dominant season start. Texas Southern looks to rebound from a lopsided loss, possibly increasing their defensive effort to keep the game competitive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Texas A&M: -110, Texas Southern: +900 | Texas A&M Aggies to win | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Texas A&M -29.5 (-110), Texas Southern +29.5 (-110) | Texas A&M to cover -29.5 | β β β β β 90% |
| Over/under | Over 161.5 (-110), Under 161.5 (-110) | Under 161.5 total points | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 161.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 161.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas A&M Aggies are heavily favored to win outright and cover the large spread due to superior performance metrics, home advantage, and recent form.
Predicted Score: Texas A&M Aggies 97 – Texas Southern Tigers 65