Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 1:40 AM UTC
- Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington
Game Overview
The Seattle Mariners (80-68) host the Los Angeles Angels (69-79) at T-Mobile Park. Mariners starter Bryan Woo (13-7, 3.02 ERA) faces Angels pitcher Mitch Farris (1-0, 2.45 ERA). Seattle is favored on the moneyline and run line, with a total set at 7.5 runs.
Key Factors to Consider
- Seattle has a superior overall record and pitching staff ERA (3.94 vs 4.79), slightly better team OBP and slugging. The Mariners have shown more consistent recent form and play at home, a strong factor.
- Bryan Woo has a 3.29 ERA in 5 career starts vs. the Angels, though with only 1 win. Angels pitcher Farris has no prior starts against the Mariners. Seattle won the previous head-to-head game 2-1.
- No significant injuries reported for either side impacting starting pitchers or key hitters.
- Game is played at T-Mobile Park favoring Mariners, known for pitcher-friendly conditions. No adverse weather expected.
- Seattle remains in playoff contention with motivation to maintain form; Angels are rebuilding with less to play for this late in the season.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Mariners -210 / Los Angeles Angels +189 | Seattle Mariners | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Seattle Mariners -1.5 +100 / Los Angeles Angels +1.5 -120 | Seattle Mariners -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 -117 / Under 7.5 -103 | Under 7.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Mariners -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run line, and the total to go under 7.5 runs.
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 4, Los Angeles Angels 2