Match Analysis: Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 10:10 PM UTC
- Location: Progressive Field
Game Overview
The Cleveland Guardians host the Chicago White Sox in a late-season MLB matchup. Guardians enter with a winning record and home-field advantage, while the White Sox are struggling in the AL Central with a poor overall record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Guardians hold a 76-71 record and have been solid at home. White Sox are 57-91, showing weaker overall performance and pitching struggles (4.22 ERA). Guardians' starting pitcher Parker Messick is undefeated in limited starts (2-0), while White Sox starter Davis Martin has a modest 6-9 record with a 4.03 ERA.
- Recent splits favor the Guardians, who are slight favorites with several bookmakers listing them at around -165 to -175 on the moneyline. White Sox have struggled when starting Martin as underdogs.
- No critical frontline injuries reported that would severely impact starting pitchers or key batters; some minor injuries exist but not to core players for this game.
- Game played at Progressive Field, a neutral to pitcher-friendly park. Weather and conditions expected stable with no extreme impacts.
- Guardians are pushing for postseason positioning and hold stronger motivation; White Sox are out of contention but looking to end on a competitive note.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cleveland -160, Chicago +145 | Cleveland Guardians | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | Cleveland -1.5 +130, Chicago +1.5 -150 | Cleveland Guardians -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 8 +100, Under 8 -120 | Under 8 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cleveland Guardians -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cleveland Guardians to win straight up, covering the -1.5 run line, and the total score to go under 8 runs.
Predicted Score: Guardians 4 – White Sox 2