Match Analysis: Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Norfolk State Spartans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: SHI Stadium, Piscataway, NJ
Game Overview
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (2-0) host the Norfolk State Spartans (1-1) in a clear mismatch between an FBS Big Ten team and an FCS opponent. Rutgers are undefeated and playing at home, while Norfolk State struggles with a long road losing streak and lower competitive level.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rutgers is 2-0 with strong offensive and defensive performances early this season, covering the spread inconsistently but winning decisively. Norfolk State is 1-1, struggling particularly on the road and against higher-level competition.
- Rutgers leads the all-time series 4-0 against Norfolk State. Norfolk State has lost 10 consecutive games overall and 20 straight away games, including matchups with FBS teams.
- No significant injury reports impacting either team that would change the expected dominant performance by Rutgers.
- Playing at home in SHI Stadium with favorable weather (~80Β°F, clear, low wind) boosts Rutgersβ likelihood to dominate. Norfolk Stateβs coach is Michael Vick, but this has not translated to away wins.
- Rutgers, being undefeated and a Big Ten program, is highly motivated to dominate an FCS opponent to maintain ranking and momentum. Norfolk State aims to avoid a blowout but is limited by talent and experience gaps.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Rutgers: -100000, Norfolk State: +8000 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | β β β β β 98% |
Spread | Rutgers -42.5: -110, Norfolk State +42.5: -110 | Rutgers -42.5 | β β β β β 85% |
Over/under | Over 51.5: -110, Under 51.5: -110 | Over 51.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Home 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 51.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rutgers Scarlet Knights will decisively cover the large spread and the total will go over the line given expected offensive output from Rutgers and Norfolk Stateβs ability to generate some points.
Predicted Score: Rutgers 56 – Norfolk State 10