Match Analysis: South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Raymond James Stadium
Game Overview
The South Florida Bulls host the UTSA Roadrunners in a pivotal American Athletic Conference matchup at Raymond James Stadium. South Florida enters the game with a 6-2 overall record and 3-1 in conference play, having won four straight at home. UTSA is 3-4 overall and 1-2 in conference, coming off a strong 48-26 win over Tulane as underdogs. The game features contrasting momentum, with South Florida favored by bookmakers and both teams showing recent offensive capability, though some analysts question if the high total line will be reached.
Key Factors to Consider
- South Florida has been dominant at home, winning four consecutive games and holding a 6-2 overall record. Their recent loss was a narrow 34-31 defeat on the road against Memphis. UTSA, despite a losing record, showed resilience with a 48-26 win over Tulane as underdogs, but has lost back-to-back road games. South Floridaโs offense has been consistent, while UTSAโs defense has struggled, especially away from home.
- UTSA holds the edge in the most recent matchup, defeating South Florida 49-21 at Alamodome. This suggests UTSA can compete, but South Floridaโs home advantage and improved form since that loss may shift the balance.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is played at Raymond James Stadium, a venue where South Florida has been strong this season. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable, with no major disruptions anticipated.
- South Florida is motivated to maintain their home dominance and improve their conference standing. UTSA seeks to build on their recent win and prove they can compete on the road against top conference opponents.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Florida Bulls: -590, UTSA Roadrunners: 430 | South Florida Bulls | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Spread | South Florida Bulls: -13.5 -110, UTSA Roadrunners: 13.5 -110 | South Florida Bulls -13.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 67.5 -115, Under: 67.5 -105 | Under 67.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Florida Bulls -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 67.5 17% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 67.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
South Florida is favored to win this matchup, given their strong home record and recent form. The spread reflects their dominance, and the over/under line suggests a high-scoring game, though some analysts believe the total may fall short. UTSAโs recent win over Tulane shows they can score, but their road struggles and South Floridaโs home strength point to a Bulls victory.
Predicted Score: South Florida 38 – UTSA 24