Match Analysis: Bologna vs SK Brann – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-06
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Italy
Game Overview
The UEFA Europa League group stage match between Bologna and SK Brann will take place at Bologna's home ground, Renato Dall'Ara, on November 6, 2025, starting at 21:00 CET (20:00 UTC). Bologna enters as a clear favorite, supported by home advantage and superior squad depth in this European competition setting.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bologna has shown stronger form and squad quality in recent Europa League and domestic fixtures, while SK Brann faces tougher challenges adapting to the higher pace and tactical demands of European competition. Bologna benefits from a more experienced squad with Italian and international players familiar with continental play.
- There is limited prior direct competitive history between Bologna and SK Brann in European club competitions, suggesting no significant psychological advantage from past encounters.
- Current lineups indicate both teams have their main squads available without significant injury concerns reported for key players of either side in this fixture.
- Home advantage for Bologna at Renato Dall'Ara, combined with the travel and fatigue factors for SK Brann coming from Norway, could impact SK Brann's performance negatively. Weather conditions are typical for early November in Italy, posing no unusual challenge.
- Bologna is motivated to consolidate their Europa League group standing ahead of later rounds and capitalize on home advantage, while SK Brann aims to secure points on the road to keep qualification hopes alive, which could lead to a disciplined defensive approach.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bologna: -265, SK Brann: 625, Draw: 400 | Bologna to win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Bologna: -1.25 at -130, SK Brann: +1.25 at 100 | Bologna to cover -1.25 spread | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 3 goals: 100, Under 3 goals: -130 | Under 3 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bologna -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3 -3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Bologna at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bologna is predicted to win given their stronger form, home advantage, and favorable odds. The game may see a moderate to high number of goals given Bologna's attacking potential and the open style SK Brann may adopt to chase the game.
Predicted Score: 2-0