Match Analysis: AC Milan vs Bologna – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan, Italy
Game Overview
AC Milan hosts Bologna in a Serie A matchup where AC Milan arrives as the strong favorite based on recent form, historical dominance, and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- AC Milan has recorded 1 win and 1 draw this season, undefeated at home (1-0-0), showing solid form. Bologna holds a similar overall record (1-0-1) but has struggled away (0-0-1), losing their only away game this season.
- Historically, AC Milan dominates this fixture with Bologna winning only 1 of their last 19 matches against Milan and 2 of the last 21 overall, indicating strong psychological and tactical superiority for Milan.
- No significant injury concerns for AC Milan reported; Bologna may be missing key players, weakening their competitive edge.
- Playing at home in the iconic San Siro stadium benefits AC Milan greatly, with home support likely to boost their performance.
- AC Milan, managing under Allegri with excellent recent results and aiming to solidify top table position, has high motivation; Bologna has less incentive given their recent performance and away struggles.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | AC Milan: -113, Bologna: +335, Draw: +240 | AC Milan | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | AC Milan -0.5 -115, Bologna +50 -105 | AC Milan -0.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 +100, Under 2.5 -120 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AC Milan 23% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: AC Milan at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AC Milan to win
Predicted Score: 2-0