Match Analysis: Lille vs Toulouse – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Game Overview
Lille hosts Toulouse in a Ligue 1 clash with Lille favored due to strong recent form and home advantage, while Toulouse seeks to recover from a recent loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lille is unbeaten this season with a 2-1-0 record, scoring 11 goals in their first three matches, reflecting strong attacking form. Toulouse holds a 2-0-1 record but shows more inconsistency, especially away.
- Recent head-to-head stats are balanced though Lille has the home advantage, and slightly better home performance compared to Toulouseβs away fixtures.
- No significant injuries reported for Lille or Toulouse affecting key players
- Match played at Lilleβs home stadium gives Lille an edge; weather and pitch conditions expected to be standard without major impact.
- Lille is motivated to maintain an unbeaten start and remain in the top tier of Ligue 1, whereas Toulouse aims to rebound from a setback and prove competitiveness.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Lille: -134, Toulouse: 330, Draw: 290 | Lille | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Lille -0.75: -102, Toulouse +75: -118 | Lille -0.75 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: 102, Under 2.75: -122 | Over 2.75 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Lille 5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Lille win; Spread: Lille -0.75; Over/Under: Over 2.75 goals
Predicted Score: 3-1