Match Analysis: FC Utrecht vs Groningen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 12:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Game Overview
FC Utrecht hosts Groningen in this Eredivisie clash with Utrecht currently 2nd in the table with 9 points and Groningen 8th with 6 points. Utrecht has strong home form and slight historical advantage while Groningen presents a solid challenge.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utrecht is in strong form with 9 points and 11 goals scored so far. Groningen sits mid-table with 6 points and 9 goals, showing decent offensive capability but less consistency than Utrecht.
- Utrecht has a historical edge at home with 19 wins in the last 37 home meetings vs Groningen's 9, and the most common scoreline at Utrechtβs home is 1-0. Overall league meetings show Utrecht ahead on wins and goal difference.
- No significant injury reports for either side that would heavily impact starting lineups or key players.
- Match at Stadion Galgenwaard, giving Utrecht home advantage with familiar conditions and crowd support.
- Utrecht aims to consolidate their top league position whereas Groningen looks to climb from mid-table, giving the hosts slightly stronger motivation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | FC Utrecht -130, Groningen +320, Draw +285 | FC Utrecht | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Utrecht -0.75 +100, Groningen +75 -120 | Utrecht -0.75 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 -115, Under 2.75 -105 | Over 2.75 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC Utrecht 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: FC Utrecht at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: FC Utrecht win; Spread: FC Utrecht -0.75; Over/Under: Over 2.75 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1