Match Analysis: Yuni Takada vs Ryusei Matsumoto – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 10:00 AM UTC
- Location: IG Arena, Nagoya, Japan
Game Overview
This is a 12-round Miniflyweight boxing match between Yuni Takada and Ryusei Matsumoto held at IG Arena, Nagoya. Both fighters are 27 years old Japanese nationals with close physical stats, competing under Ohashi Promotions and Matchroom Boxing. Matsumoto is the strong favorite with a very dominant recent record and knockout rate.
Key Factors to Consider
- Matsumoto has a 16-6-3 record, with a 38% KO rate and 50% losses by KO; Takada holds a 6-0-0 undefeated record with a 67% KO rate but has fewer career rounds and less top-level experience. Matsumoto's fights tend to be shorter and more varied in rounds, while Takada averages longer fights.
- This is their first recorded matchup, so no direct H2H data is available.
- No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
- Fight is at a neutral venue in Japan, no evident home advantage. Both fighters are motivated due to the stakes and their career trajectories in the minimumweight division.
- Takada is seeking to uphold an undefeated record which could add pressure but also drive; Matsumoto, with more experience and favorites' status, shows motivation to assert dominance and maintain position in the division.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +483, away: -800 | Ryusei Matsumoto | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Ryusei Matsumoto -3.5: -150, Yuni Takada +3.5: +130 | Ryusei Matsumoto -3.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | over 7.5: -140, under 7.5: +109 | Under 7.5 rounds | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ryusei Matsumoto -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ryusei Matsumoto to win by decision
Predicted Score: Ryusei Matsumoto wins by unanimous decision after 12 rounds