Match Analysis: San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 1:40 AM UTC
- Location: Petco Park, San Diego, California
Game Overview
The San Diego Padres host the Colorado Rockies in a late-season MLB matchup. The Padres enter as substantial favorites given their stronger overall record and home advantage, while the Rockies struggle with a very poor season and starting pitching challenges.
Key Factors to Consider
- Padres hold an 80-67 record compared to the Rockiesβ 40-107, showing clear dominance this season. The Padres have also won 4 of their last 6 games, while the Rockies lost their last 6 straight. Offensive production favors the Padres especially against left-handed pitching.
- The Padres beat the Rockies 2-0 in the previous game of this series. Historical data shows the Rockies have struggled significantly against Padres pitching, especially at Petco Park.
- No major injuries reported for either team that significantly impact starting pitching or core batting lineup.
- Game played at Padresβ home stadium, Petco Park, favoring the Padres. The Rockies are on the road and have a poor away record. Weather and stadium conditions favor strong pitching performances.
- The Padres aim to strengthen their playoff positioning and are motivated to maintain dominance at home. The Rockies, having clinched no postseason berth and a poor current form, have lower motivation but may look to improve individual performances.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Colorado Rockies: +250, San Diego Padres: -310 | San Diego Padres | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Colorado Rockies +1.5: +118, San Diego Padres -1.5: -142 | San Diego Padres -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 8: -106, Under 8: -114 | Over 8 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Diego Padres -17% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.5 run line with a high scoring game expected (over 8 runs).
Predicted Score: Padres 6, Rockies 3