Match Analysis: Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 10:15 AM UTC
- Location: Woudestein Stadium
Game Overview
This Eredivisie matchup features Excelsior hosting Sparta Rotterdam in Matchday 5, with Sparta positioned higher in the league table and in better recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Excelsior holds 3 points in 16th place with poor recent form, having only one win in five matches, while Sparta Rotterdam has 6 points and occupies 9th place with stronger recent performances.
- Recent direct encounters tend to favor Sparta Rotterdam who have exploited Excelsior's defensive weaknesses in past matches.
- No significant injury reports affecting either team's starting core were noted, implying both squads are likely near full strength.
- Playing at Excelsior's home ground may provide the home side some advantage, but Sparta's current form neutralizes this.
- Sparta Rotterdam are motivated to maintain their mid-table climb, while Excelsior is under pressure to improve from the relegation zone.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: 205, away: 117, draw: 260 | Sparta Rotterdam | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | home: -110, away: -110 | Sparta Rotterdam -0.25 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | over: -115, under: -105 | Under 2.75 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sparta Rotterdam 19% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Sparta Rotterdam at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Away win for Sparta Rotterdam; Spread: Sparta Rotterdam -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.75 goals
Predicted Score: 1-2