Match Analysis: Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas State Bobcats - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, Arizona
Game Overview
The Arizona State Sun Devils (1-1) host the Texas State Bobcats (2-0) in an early-season college football matchup. Arizona State, a Power Five program, is a heavy favorite at home, expected to showcase offensive firepower against Texas Stateβs balanced but less physically dominant squad. The game is projected to be competitive despite the spread, with a moderately high total set at 59.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arizona State is coming off a close loss (24-20) to Mississippi State, displaying solid offensive and defensive capabilities but with some lapses. Texas State is unbeaten at 2-0, showing balanced offense and opportunistic defense, but this game presents a significant uptick in competition level.
- No recent direct historical matchups of significance; teams from different conferences with little recorded recent interaction.
- No major injuries reported affecting key players on either side, both teams expected near full strength.
- Arizona State benefits from home-field advantage in Tempe, while Texas State faces travel and tougher environment challenges. Both teams are playing early in the season with motivation to establish momentum.
- Arizona State seeks to affirm their superiority as a Power Five team after an even start, motivated to avoid early season losses at home. Texas State has strong motivation to prove themselves against a higher-profile opponent and extend their unbeaten streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -720, away: +500 | Arizona State Sun Devils | β β β β β 79% |
Spread | home: -115, away: -105 | Arizona State Sun Devils -15.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | over: -115, under: -105 | Over 59.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona State Sun Devils -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 59.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 59.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona State Sun Devils to win on the moneyline, cover the spread, and the game to go over 59.5 points.
Predicted Score: Arizona State 35, Texas State 21
This Pick Releases in 170 Minutes!
Unlock NOW by Sharing This Post!