Match Analysis: Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy, USA
Game Overview
Real Salt Lake hosts Sporting Kansas City aiming to solidify position late in the MLS season. RSL, with a better overall record and home form, face a struggling Kansas City side that seeks an upset.
Key Factors to Consider
- Real Salt Lake holds a stronger overall record (9-4-14) compared to Sporting Kansas City's (7-6-15). RSL performs notably better at home (6-1-6) while Kansas City is mediocre on the road (3-2-9). Kansas Cityβs recent form is poor with six losses in their last seven games.
- This season, RSL and Sporting KC have met once with Real Salt Lake currently ranked 11th and Kansas City 13th, indicating closely matched competition but slight edge to RSL in form and position.
- No significant injury news reported for either side that would drastically impact starting lineups or key players ahead of this match.
- Home advantage for Real Salt Lake at Rio Tinto Stadium is significant. Weather conditions at this venue are typically favorable and no reported external disruptions.
- Real Salt Lake needs points to maintain playoff contention and capitalize on home advantage, increasing their motivation. Sporting Kansas City is fighting to avoid falling further behind and also motivated, but their recent poor results may hamper confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Real Salt Lake: -152, Sporting Kansas City: +340, Draw: +330 | Real Salt Lake | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | Real Salt Lake -0.5 -156, Sporting Kansas City +50 118 | Real Salt Lake -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 3.5 +117, Under 3.5 -156 | Under 3.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Real Salt Lake -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Real Salt Lake win; Spread: Real Salt Lake -0.5; Over/Under: Under 3.5 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1