Match Analysis: San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, USA
Game Overview
A closely balanced MLS matchup with Los Angeles FC slightly favored due to current form and standings. The game is expected to be competitive with a moderate goal tally.
Key Factors to Consider
- Los Angeles FC currently ranks 5th with stronger recent form, winning their last 5 games. San Jose Earthquakes rank 9th, also showing consistent recent wins but with less offensive output and a weaker goal difference.
- One meeting this season; Los Angeles FC holds a slight edge in recent encounters. Both teams have comparable intensity in their matchups but LAFC has a marginal advantage.
- No significant injury reports impacting either side at this moment, maintaining a relatively full-strength squad for both teams.
- Match held at Stanford Stadium favors home team San Jose Earthquakes, but LAFC's away performance and motivation largely negate this advantage.
- LAFC is motivated to secure points to maintain playoff positioning, while San Jose aims to improve standings at home. Both teams have strong incentives, making the game likely competitive.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles FC: 116, San Jose Earthquakes: 199, Draw: 280 | Los Angeles FC | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | Los Angeles FC -0.5: 111, San Jose Earthquakes +50: -147 | San Jose Earthquakes +0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 3.5: 125, Under 3.5: -167 | Under 3.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles FC -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.5 -4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Los Angeles FC at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles FC to win on the moneyline, San Jose Earthquakes +0.5 on spread, and Under 3.5 goals total
Predicted Score: 1-2