Match Analysis: Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Navy Midshipmen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, Oklahoma
Game Overview
The Navy Midshipmen (2-0) visit the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-1) in an AAC matchup. Navy comes in as a strong favorite with a dominant rushing attack and recent strong form, while Tulsa seeks to rebound after a close loss but faces challenges against Navy's ground game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Navy is undefeated with dominant rushing stats (295 yards on the ground vs UAB) and efficient play, while Tulsa is 1-1, recently losing a close game despite decent offensive output but with turnovers.
- Navy has shown superiority in recent matchups, especially controlling the line of scrimmage and running effectively against Tulsa's secondary.
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting key positions; both teams appear close to full strength.
- Game played at Tulsaβs home stadium, but Navyβs ability to control possession and tempo may mitigate home field advantage. Moderate weather with no precipitation and typical conditions expected.
- Navy aims to maintain perfect record and reinforce conference dominance; Tulsa is motivated to prove competitiveness at home but may struggle to overcome Navy's momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Navy -575, Tulsa +425 | Navy | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Navy -14 -108, Tulsa +14 -112 | Navy -14 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over 52.5 -112, Under 52.5 -108 | Under 52.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Navy Midshipmen -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 52.5 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Navy to win outright and cover the spread, with a likely low-scoring game under the total line due to Navy's control and Tulsaβs defensive resilience in limiting big plays on the ground.
Predicted Score: Navy 31 – Tulsa 13