Match Analysis: Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, USA
Game Overview
MLS match between Atlanta United FC and Columbus Crew SC at Atlanta's home ground, Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with Columbus currently higher in league standing and better recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atlanta United has struggled recently with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in last 5 matches, scoring an average 1.2 goals and conceding 1.8. Columbus Crew shows stronger form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 per match.
- Historically, Columbus Crew leads with 13 wins to Atlanta's 7 in 24 matches since 2017. Recent H2H also slightly favors Columbus. Overall, Columbus has shown consistent superiority in these matchups.
- No specific injury data provided; assume typical squad availability with no major missing starters for either side.
- Home advantage for Atlanta United at Mercedes-Benz Stadium may boost performance but recent form and standings indicate Columbus as the stronger side.
- Columbus Crew is positioned higher in MLS standings, likely motivated to secure points for playoff contention. Atlanta United is lower in the table with less recent momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | 163 / 140 / 280 | Columbus Crew SC | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | -0.5 133 | Columbus Crew SC -0.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 3.5 128 / Under 3.5 -172 | Under 3.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Columbus Crew SC 20% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Columbus Crew SC at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Columbus Crew to win on the moneyline, covering the spread, with the match going under 3.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-2