Match Analysis: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs East Carolina Pirates – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Brooks Stadium, Conway, South Carolina
Game Overview
East Carolina Pirates (1-1) visit Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (1-1) in a Sun Belt matchup featuring a significant spread favoring East Carolina at -7.5 and total points set at 56.5. East Carolina is favored based on stronger recent offensive output and defensive metrics, whereas Coastal Carolina has struggled to establish an effective passing game so far.
Key Factors to Consider
- East Carolina has shown offensive efficiency with QB Katin Houser completing nearly 70% passes, supported by solid rushing and receiving stats. Their defense allows only 13.5 PPG on average. Coastal Carolinaβs offense is less productive, with zero passing touchdowns and four interceptions through two games, raising concerns about scoring capabilities.
- Recent direct meetings favor East Carolina due to their superior offensive execution and ability to limit Coastal Carolinaβs scoring opportunities, as reflected in their decisive recent win (56-3 vs Campbell for East Carolina).
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting key offensive or defensive starters, maintaining roster strength for both squads.
- The game is at Coastal Carolinaβs home stadium, which might offer some home-field advantage, but weather conditions (11% cloud cover, open stadium) are neutral with no strong wind impact.
- East Carolina seeks to assert dominance early in the season following a convincing win and strong performance against a quality opponent, signaling high motivation to cover the spread. Coastal Carolina faces pressure to rebound after underwhelming offensive showings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Coastal Carolina: +235, East Carolina: -290 | East Carolina | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | Coastal Carolina: -115, East Carolina: -105 | East Carolina -7.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over: -108, Under: -112 | Under 56.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | East Carolina Pirates -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 56.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 56.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
East Carolina Pirates to cover the -7.5 spread with an Under on total points
Predicted Score: East Carolina 28, Coastal Carolina 16