Match Analysis: New England Revolution vs Toronto FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, USA
Game Overview
New England Revolution, playing at home, face Toronto FC in an MLS matchup where both teams sit in the lower half of the standings (11th and 13th respectively). The kickoff is on September 13, 2025, at 23:30 UTC.
Key Factors to Consider
- New England has shown slightly better recent form with a higher table position and home advantage, while Toronto FC have struggled on the road and overall this season.
- In the current season, these teams met once with no decisive dominance; historically, New England holds a slight edge at home against Toronto.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically affect lineup strength.
- Neutral weather and no extraordinary external conditions expected at Gillette Stadium.
- Both teams are motivated to climb the standings, but New England has stronger incentive playing at home and needing points to avoid missing playoffs.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -130, away: 310, draw: 300 | Home Win (New England Revolution) | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | home: -0.5 -135, away: +50 102 | New England Revolution -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | over: 2.5 -156, under: 2.5 117 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New England Revolution 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New England Revolution to win, covering the -0.5 goal spread, with total goals under 2.5
Predicted Score: 1-0