Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Internacional – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil
Game Overview
This Brasileirão Serie A match features Palmeiras, currently 3rd in the league and strong at home, hosting Internacional, ranked 10th, with a less potent recent scoring record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Palmeiras has been solid with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in last 5 matches, scoring 1.6 goals per game and conceding 1.4. Internacional shows mixed form with 4 wins and 1 loss, scoring fewer goals (0.8 per game) but having a tighter defense (1.0 conceded).
- Historically balanced rivalry with about equal wins (Palmeiras 13, Internacional 11) and draws (8). Palmeiras has slight home advantage; the total goals per game tend to hover around moderate scoring.
- No major injury news impacting starting lineups significantly for this match from available data.
- Match played at Palmeiras' home Allianz Parque stadium, enhancing their chances. No notable external disruptions detected.
- Palmeiras motivated to solidify top 3 league position and qualify for Libertadores; Internacional motivated to climb table from mid-lower spots.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Palmeiras: -172, Draw: +270, Internacional: +525 | Palmeiras | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Palmeiras -1: +108, Internacional +1: -128 | Palmeiras -1 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Palmeiras -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 21% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras to win outright given home advantage, superior recent form, and motivation.
Predicted Score: 2-1